Rhossydd
Established Member
But have no evidence what so ever to counter the majority of world opinion that leaving the EU would be a bad idea.Cheshirechappie":8nmm2fdo said:and stand absolutely by every word I wrote
But have no evidence what so ever to counter the majority of world opinion that leaving the EU would be a bad idea.Cheshirechappie":8nmm2fdo said:and stand absolutely by every word I wrote
Everyone in the UK has a vested interest in this referendum, although some might not have grasped the implications to their own lives yet. We all stand to loose out, some very badly.phil.p":1fhoyzsm said:I have yet to come across anyone of that opinion without a vested interest.
Terry - Somerset":1pj3v3jo said:There are many theories as to why the industrial revolution started in Britain - but I would note that at the start of the 19th century:
- Britain ruled the waves
- Had the huge economic benefit of an empire
- Which kick-started banking and other financial services
- Was a coherent whole (and had been for 100 years) rather than competing independent states
- Germany had yet to be unified (1861)
- The French revolution shortly followed by Napoleon and later the Franco Prussian wars
There may have been a less regulatory culture in the UK (impossible to judge), but the pre-requisites for the UK to make the most of the technical advances (money, education, political stability, entrepreneurial culture) were all in place.
Because every credible financial projection says so.phil.p":qzx54j80 said:why presume GB will do worse outside?
Rhossydd":22dvx4em said:Because every credible financial projection says so.phil.p":22dvx4em said:why presume GB will do worse outside?
Because they're the best source of information we have. There might be an element of doubt if there were a huge range of variability in the projections, but there isn't. It's all negative.Cheshirechappie":1l1zv5bw said:Why on earth does anybody take economic forecasts seriously?
Rhossydd":1svj08nd said:Because they're the best source of information we have. There might be an element of doubt if there were a huge range of variability in the projections, but there isn't. It's all negative.Cheshirechappie":1svj08nd said:Why on earth does anybody take economic forecasts seriously?
Have you ever seen a forecast that credibly suggests that we'd all be better off out of the EU ? I haven't.
Rhossydd":2zw7wygs said:Because they're the best source of information we have. There might be an element of doubt if there were a huge range of variability in the projections, but there isn't. It's all negative.Cheshirechappie":2zw7wygs said:Why on earth does anybody take economic forecasts seriously?
Have you ever seen a forecast that credibly suggests that we'd all be better off out of the EU ? I haven't.
Completely the opposite.Cheshirechappie":1z2td7ll said:Rhossydd":1z2td7ll said:Because they're the best source of information we have. There might be an element of doubt if there were a huge range of variability in the projections, but there isn't. It's all negative.Cheshirechappie":1z2td7ll said:Why on earth does anybody take economic forecasts seriously?
Have you ever seen a forecast that credibly suggests that we'd all be better off out of the EU ? I haven't.
Yes - the lessons of history. I've tried to set out some of them in this thread and others. History shows that countries with active democracies and light-touch regulation do far better economically than less democratic, more 'managed' economies, and end up more prosperous and freer. Examples - America, Canada, Australia, New Zealand, Britain between the civil war and now, Germany after WW2. I can think of no examples of countries that have prospered so well under managed economies - even China has had to become far more liberal in it's attitude to commerce (would that it would in other aspects of life!).
:lol: nice turn of phrase!a hubristically gloomy view of global realpolitik.
Jacob":2hs70fs6 said:... The various empires or successful nations which have come and gone have succeeded on the basis of centralised power, tight rule and regulation, bureaucracy and so on.
Jacob":2l2ln79l said:Completely the opposite.
The various empires or successful nations which have come and gone have succeeded on the basis of centralised power, tight rule and regulation, bureaucracy and so on. Often with slavery and enforced cheap labour, and in the colonies you mention; the domination and/or extermination of native populations.
The industrial revolution developed out of discovering how things could be done then becoming how things should be done, with codes of practice, standards imposed, research and development largely centrally funded, and so on.
We now have the neo-liberal experiment quite obviously failing all around us with the collapse of American and UK industry and the rise of poverty.
Whether or not we want to be successful on the basis of centralised power is another question - but democracy can be powerful without being tyrannical and with the development of technology we don't need a slavery and cheap labour as in previous eras.
And centralised power looks like the only way we will deal with climate change, which is in the process of disrupting everything, worldwide, very quickly.
Nobody - but that (plus colonisation) what largely sustained the development of all the nations mentioned by CC above, including the UK.Cheshirechappie":34f3xvnx said:..... Who on earth is suggesting a return to slave labour?
I mean they're sticking their necks out spouting gloomy nonsense in the hope nobody will call them out on it.Jacob":20p5sabl said::lol: nice turn of phrase!a hubristically gloomy view of global realpolitik.
Eric The Viking":1u5zuvns said:Here are examples from a number of leading economists:
Prof. Patrick Minford:
Should Britain Leave the EU? (2005 ed.) (2015 edition on Amazon)
http://www.patrickminford.net/ (home page, including links to specific papers)
Prof. Tim Congdon:
http://getbritainout.org/prof-tim-congdon-cbe-serious-flaws-in-the-treasurys-analysis-of-eu-costs/ as is obvious this is a rebuttal to the recent Treasury analysis. Prof. Congdon has published a lot of work in recent years on the subject.
Dr. Ruth Lea
http://politeia.co.uk/blog/open-letter-sir-mike-rake-dr-ruth-lea Rebuttal of 'remain' arguments in the form of a letter to the CBI.
http://www.arbuthnotgroup.com/economic_perspectives_group.html Analysis blog for Arbuthnot (not specifically EU-related).
http://www.cityam.com/234438/ignore-eu-scaremongers-why-britain-would-thrive-post-brexit
Biography here
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