Terry - Somerset
Established Member
A bit of guesswork over the adequacy of electrical infrastructure and generating capacity.
The probability is that we have ~ 25 years to make the transition, not 10 years to 2030. It is a pretty much a non-problem.
Assuming the average life of an ICE is 15 years, 33% of cars on the road in 2030 will be 10-15 year old ICE. Additionally the cars sold 2021 - 2030 will be partially ICE (say 50%) as EV sales increase from approx 15% to 90%+ of total car sales.
By 2030 ~33% of cars on the road will be EV
The issue of gas boilers has also been noted. I doubt that mandatory gas boiler change will be the outcome - more likely the ban impact new and replacement installations.
The legislation has yet to be put in place, and gas boilers have an operating life of 15-30 years.
5-15% of gas installations will be replaced by electric by 2030.
The probability is that we have ~ 25 years to make the transition, not 10 years to 2030. It is a pretty much a non-problem.
Assuming the average life of an ICE is 15 years, 33% of cars on the road in 2030 will be 10-15 year old ICE. Additionally the cars sold 2021 - 2030 will be partially ICE (say 50%) as EV sales increase from approx 15% to 90%+ of total car sales.
By 2030 ~33% of cars on the road will be EV
The issue of gas boilers has also been noted. I doubt that mandatory gas boiler change will be the outcome - more likely the ban impact new and replacement installations.
The legislation has yet to be put in place, and gas boilers have an operating life of 15-30 years.
5-15% of gas installations will be replaced by electric by 2030.