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I wasn't going to get involved here, but in the end I couldn't resist.

"The latest report from the Icelandic government's Committee on Climate Change warns that by the next century, Iceland's glaciers will have all but disappeared, adding to the threat of catastrophic sea level rise.

So the journo is quoting from an Icelandic committe report on Icelandic glaciers - not ALL glaciers, just Icelandic ones.

Vatnajokull covers an area of 8,000 square km (5,500 square miles) and is, at its deepest point, more than 900 metres thick. But glaciologists say it's now melting at a rate of a metre a year and climate change could quicken its demise.

Leaving aside the totally inaccurate conversion there, the melting is said to be occurring at "a rate of a metre a year." Presumably, that means that the leading edge is retreating by that amount. I doubt that it means that it's losing that amount annually off the height, but that's not confirmed.

One of the country's leading glaciologists explained what will happen if global melting continues. Finnur Palsson of the University of Iceland told Sky News Online: "The glacier ice will melt. The water that runs off will go to the sea."

If he was referring to glacial melting outside of Iceland, surely he would have said so, as he's from the University of Iceland. I accept that it's possible he was referring to global melt, rather than Icelandic melt, but it seems unlikely in this context.

"The sea level will rise... it will rise to about seven metres, which means we'll have catastrophic effects on the highly populated areas all over the globe. "This means that people will have to migrate to higher places all over the world."

"The sea level will rise... it will rise to about seven metres ... " WHAT? In what context is that figure of nearly 22 feet being used? Rise to about seven metres from where? The existing low tide mark, the existing high tide mark, WHAT? Figures bandied about in this careless and unattributable way do nothing but harm. There cannot be enough water on the planet to achieve that and the amount of water is finite.

The most-frequently missed comment is "by the next century" - by which time no-one will have survived to point out the allegations made all those years ago. Statistics will always be mangled to suit the agenda of the user and the GW debate seems to be a classic example of this at work.

I've no idea what the globe will look like in 100 years, nor does anyone else. However, given the amount of water (and ice) on the planet, any claim that mentions a seven metre rise in sea level has got to be suspect.

Ray.
 
Quite Ray, my whole argument is for scientific accuracy, not scaremongering, and as has been pointed out by another poster somebody should have been able to convert sq km into sq miles.

Roy.
 
Argee":1q3llk1i said:
"The latest report from the Icelandic government's Committee on Climate Change warns that by the next century, Iceland's glaciers will have all but disappeared, adding to the threat of catastrophic sea level rise.

So the journo is quoting from an Icelandic committe report on Icelandic glaciers - not ALL glaciers, just Icelandic ones.

In the first quote, yes - i.e. from that Committee report, not from The Impuned Scientist With Allegedly Poor Maths.

Leaving aside the totally inaccurate conversion there, the melting is said to be occurring at "a rate of a metre a year." Presumably, that means that the leading edge is retreating by that amount. I doubt that it means that it's losing that amount annually off the height, but that's not confirmed.

Dunno. Not going to speculate without any basis, and can't be bothered to try to look it up.

One of the country's leading glaciologists explained what will happen if global melting continues. Finnur Palsson of the University of Iceland told Sky News Online: "The glacier ice will melt. The water that runs off will go to the sea."

If he was referring to glacial melting outside of Iceland, surely he would have said so, as he's from the University of Iceland. I accept that it's possible he was referring to global melt, rather than Icelandic melt, but it seems unlikely in this context.

Funny logic - are Icelanders bound to be that insular in their outlook? Do they always have to preface their remarks "I am not just talking about Iceland, you know, oh no, I am talking about global". He can't help the context in which his quote was placed (i.e right next to the Icelandic committee quote, and the journo's focus on that one glacier). We don't know what he was asked, or what he said in the longer transcript from which that quote has no doubt been taken. He might have prefaced it "Although I am Icelander, I will speak of global things in my next sentence, so I will" for all we know. :D

"The sea level will rise... it will rise to about seven metres, which means we'll have catastrophic effects on the highly populated areas all over the globe. "This means that people will have to migrate to higher places all over the world."

"The sea level will rise... it will rise to about seven metres ... " WHAT? In what context is that figure of nearly 22 feet being used? Rise to about seven metres from where? The existing low tide mark, the existing high tide mark, WHAT? Figures bandied about in this careless and unattributable way do nothing but harm. There cannot be enough water on the planet to achieve that and the amount of water is finite.

There is enough ice - Greenland melting would apparently make levels rise by 7m, Antarctica about 60m. Whether that would happen, and in what timeframe is another question, but if its improbable, it isn't beyond the realms of the physically possible.

The most-frequently missed comment is "by the next century" - by which time no-one will have survived to point out the allegations made all those years ago. Statistics will always be mangled to suit the agenda of the user and the GW debate seems to be a classic example of this at work.

That is back to the Committee, who were talking about the Icelandic glaciers, supposedly the most vulnerable (for whatever reason, CC, volcanos, whatever).

I've no idea what the globe will look like in 100 years, nor does anyone else. However, given the amount of water (and ice) on the planet, any claim that mentions a seven metre rise in sea level has got to be suspect.

He didn't say anything about 7m in 100 years that I see - I think you are conflating the Committee's words (which mentioned a 100 year timescale) with the scientist's words (which mention the 7m).
 
Jake":ic7gkria said:
Dunno. Not going to speculate without any basis, and can't be bothered to try to look it up.

There is enough ice - Greenland melting would apparently make levels rise by 7m, Antarctica about 60m.
I knew I shouldn't have posted. "Can't be bothered" and "apparently" are just what this subject doesn't need.

Ray
 
The 'can't be bothered' sentence you quoted was taking the rise out of your ability to speculate that it must have been the rate of retreat of the edge, without doing anything to check that. I can't be bothered to check it for you, which I think is fair enough.

The 'apparently' is because I did look it up, because I've heard predictions of many metres of sea level rise before so I was a bit suspicious of your statement that there wasn't enough ice in the world to cause that much rise (by which I am not making any comment on whether it is likely) - but I only had a brief peek in Wikipedia, with all the uncertainty that brings, and one thing I know is that I'm no expert on this myself - unlike some on this thread!
 
Jake, I don't what's got your back up but if the expert you mention is supposed to be me have the guts to say so!
Secondly when I made the initial post I made no mention of gender.
In the second post I used the word guy with realising that the reporter was female. You have decided that I am insulting a particular scientist, just so you can calm down and sleep tonight I would point out that ONE OR OTHER, OR AN UN MENTIONED SOURCE, can't convert metric to imperial.
Or do wish to take issue with that also?

Roy.
 
Digit":2d10axoo said:
Jake, I don't what's got your back up but if the expert you mention is supposed to be me have the guts to say so!

Nothing has got my back up - you are certainly more expert* than I am - and Ray may well be as well by the sounds of it. I know the extent of my knowledge is very limited, and I don't mind saying so.

(*which isn't to say I think you are right - I suspect the concensus view of even greater experts on the other side of the debate is the more likely to be right)

Secondly when I made the initial post I made no mention of gender. In the second post I used the word guy with realising that the reporter was female. You have decided that I am insulting a particular scientist, just so you can calm down and sleep tonight I would point out that ONE OR OTHER, OR AN UN MENTIONED SOURCE, can't convert metric to imperial.
Or do wish to take issue with that also?

Nice revisionism - you'd better go back and edit some. You criticised the scientist's supposed mathematical derivation of the 7m prediction, and calculated it at 2cm. That had very little to do with the journo's square miles/square km debate - unless you are saying that is enough to make the difference between 7m and 2cm?

I don't see how you can be blaming the scientist's prediction on the journo's mathematical mistake, but hey, maybe that's just the easiest way out.

I'll sleep fine, Roy. I'll give my uncle Finnur a call to let him know I defended his honour, and he'll send me some lovely fermented whale blubber.
 
Jake! I said HE! and as I pointed out I had not read the name and gender of the reporter.
YOU chose to make my statement into something different to what I said.
And the maths is STILL wrong and no legalistic word mangling will alter that!

Roy.
 
Digit":ukxjj8bi said:
Jake! I said HE! and as I pointed out I had not read the name and gender of the reporter.

Umm OK. Trouble with that is the reporter didn't mention a 7m sea level change anywhere in the article, or put any figure on it at all - the only mention of the figure, the 7m, was in the scientist's quote.

So unless you were very mixed up about who was saying what, I can't see how you thought you were criticising the journo for a poor calculation of the effect on sea level (which was clearly what was exercising you).

YOU chose to make my statement into something different to what I said.

I don't think so, somehow. :)

And the maths is STILL wrong and no legalistic word mangling will alter that!

Yes, the reporter converted miles2 to km2 incorrectly - is that really what you started this whole thread about? Again, I don't think so, somehow.

Legalistic word-mangling? It's just dissecting what the article says, and what you said in your posts. Unmangling, if mangles are involved at all.
 
Again, I don't think so, somehow.
So who cares! I have posted the same statement on three fora and you alone have managed to start nit picking.
Shall we just accept that you are the only one in step and give it a rest?

Roy.
 
Sounds good to me.

I shall apologise on your behalf to my uncle. :lol:
 

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