Terry - Somerset
Established Member
Meetings with the US president, particularly one who will be gone in a few months, has little to do with face to face dialogue influencing or promoting policy. It is about ego and politics:
An end to hostilities will only happen when Russia wants. The West (NATO) can only provide Ukraine with weapons required to avoid a Russian victory. Ukraine cannot "win" the war. The West does not want a Russian victory which could threaten other EU/NATO states.
A Trump election victory may result in:
It is a solution I would support. It may be morally questionable to allow aggression to succeed - but the West have encouraged Putin by standing idly by when Crimea was invaded. The alternative is perpetuating destruction, civilian and military casualties for an the indefinite future.
- I must be important - load up a large jet to fly lots of folk to the US for a few days
- lots of positive column inches and media attention
- I don't want to make a decision without the explicit agreement of the senior partner (boss)
- it diverts attention away from other issues not going so well (fuel payments, Oasis tickets)
An end to hostilities will only happen when Russia wants. The West (NATO) can only provide Ukraine with weapons required to avoid a Russian victory. Ukraine cannot "win" the war. The West does not want a Russian victory which could threaten other EU/NATO states.
A Trump election victory may result in:
- a call to Putin to agree revised borders - roughly where the front line has stalled
- followed by a call to Zelensky telling him to agree
- failure to agree will stall military support - Zelensky between a rock and a hard place
- deal may allow a smaller Ukraine with agreed new borders membership of NATO and EU
It is a solution I would support. It may be morally questionable to allow aggression to succeed - but the West have encouraged Putin by standing idly by when Crimea was invaded. The alternative is perpetuating destruction, civilian and military casualties for an the indefinite future.