Phil Pascoe
Established Member
80 very worthwhile minutes.
I can't get the gif to work, but I'll get the popcorn out.
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80 very worthwhile minutes.
I can't get the gif to work, but I'll get the popcorn out.
Trouble is facts can be quite seriously manipulated, this is the art of statistics which can be made to say quite a lot of different things with the same data set.You're well within your rights to believe what you like Phil, but you really shouldn't confuse opinion with facts.
Which is why papers are peer reviewed and statistical results published such that bias can be tested for and avoided. The truth does indeed lie in the middle, in the middle of what the statistics say, not in the middle between the statistics and some whacko cherry picking imbicile.Trouble is facts can be quite seriously manipulated, this is the art of statistics which can be made to say quite a lot of different things with the same data set.
I have seen persuasive arguments from both sides of the climate debate and concluded the truth is likely somewhere in the middle. As it usually is with most stuff.
Quite right about the scientific method.Which is why papers are peer reviewed and statistical results published such that bias can be tested for and avoided. The truth does indeed lie in the middle, in the middle of what the statistics say, not in the middle between the statistics and some whacko cherry picking imbicile.
We are all posting on electronic devices developed based on experiment and observation , powered by an electrical system, developed based on experiment and observation, kept healthy by drugs based on experiment and observation. The scientific method is not opinion based, it is evidence based. Yes it is not incorruptible and it is swayed by what is funded, but to say that thousand of scientists whom have researched the subject are all part of some mass lie is utter nonsense, and that one bloke can see the truth is even more ridiculous.
My favourite thing about climate change is that people bang on about how it’s a hoax, the climate has always changed. This is true and with that change has come mass species extinction. The planet will be absolutely fine with the change, ffs it survived a massive bloody meteorite strike. The problem is our survival, and to sit around twiddling our thumbs whilst the evidence says our climate is rapidly changing is idiotic at best. Even if the evidence eventually shows another unknown cause, then saying ‘I told you so’ won’t be possible if we’ve done nothing as a species to adapt our society to the change.
Honestly I think people just don’t want to change what they do and how they live so spread this garbage as an excuse not to change. I’d much rather people say you know what I don’t care and I’m going on living how I want to. I can honestly say I’d respect that position so much more.
Sorry rant over, but the scientific method is responsible for the amazing standard of life we all enjoy, and I get annoyed when it is held hostage by people who don’t understand it, or can’t be bothered to understand it.
Fitz.
Who make their livings from concensus - as was pointed out many times.Indeed and opinion is just opinion.
I'll stick with the peer reviewed science.
Limited expertise like being professors at the world's top universities and being awarded Nobel Prizes.Many years ago a convincing documentary "proved" the moon landings were faked. Such a secret could not have remained confidential. Many hundreds would be aware of the scam - set designers, NASA control staff, cameramen, tracking stations, lunar rover manufacturers, etc etc etc.
The climate debate is similar - it is possible to construct a conspiracy through selective use of data and statistics. Talk to a politician - it's familiar territory. But overwhelming scientific consensus and peer review process makes it highly unlikely that there is any substance to the claims.
Presenting data over many millennia (or longer) and concluding that climate today is well within historical extremes is flawed. Human critical timescales are measured in a few decades only.
There are simple experiments demonstrating the impact of changing levels of CO2 in the atmosphere. The fundamental science is beyond reasonable doubt, although the interaction with other processes is more complex - eg: polar ice cover and reflectivity, rainfall, vegetation loss etc.
A basic sense test also suggests that burning fossil fuels laid down over several hundred million years, then releasing the absorbed gases in a a couple of centuries is likely to be destabilising.
Conclusion - the video is an unevidenced, non-peer reviewed piece of work supported by contributions mainly from those with limited apparent expertise.
That is an excellent postWhich is why papers are peer reviewed and statistical results published such that bias can be tested for and avoided. The truth does indeed lie in the middle, in the middle of what the statistics say, not in the middle between the statistics and some whacko cherry picking imbicile.
We are all posting on electronic devices developed based on experiment and observation , powered by an electrical system, developed based on experiment and observation, kept healthy by drugs based on experiment and observation. The scientific method is not opinion based, it is evidence based. Yes it is not incorruptible and it is swayed by what is funded, but to say that thousand of scientists whom have researched the subject are all part of some mass lie is utter nonsense, and that one bloke can see the truth is even more ridiculous.
My favourite thing about climate change is that people bang on about how it’s a hoax, the climate has always changed. This is true and with that change has come mass species extinction. The planet will be absolutely fine with the change, ffs it survived a massive bloody meteorite strike. The problem is our survival, and to sit around twiddling our thumbs whilst the evidence says our climate is rapidly changing is idiotic at best. Even if the evidence eventually shows another unknown cause, then saying ‘I told you so’ won’t be possible if we’ve done nothing as a species to adapt our society to the change.
Honestly I think people just don’t want to change what they do and how they live so spread this garbage as an excuse not to change. I’d much rather people say you know what I don’t care and I’m going on living how I want to. I can honestly say I’d respect that position so much more.
Sorry rant over, but the scientific method is responsible for the amazing standard of life we all enjoy, and I get annoyed when it is held hostage by people who don’t understand it, or can’t be bothered to understand it.
Fitz.
That is untrue.Who make their livings from concensus - as was pointed out many times.
I also remember long warm summers, also a thing we don't get anymore.Phil,
I see you're in Cornwall, I am too - I grew up here and if you did too, you will remember as a child, waiting for the school bus in the cold, frosty weather of winter. If your bus was anything like mine, you spent most of your time on it of a morning, breathing on the window next to you to thaw a small circle out of which to watch the world go by. That weather would last for weeks most winters, but when was the last time we had more than a couple of nights of frost? If you cannot see for yourself the change in the climate over your own lifespan, then you must be one of the most unobservant people out there.
Wake up man and stop peddling lies that suit someone else's agenda, it ill becomes you, unless of course you just like being controversial and get some weird buzz from it.
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