That carbon cycle pic above brings back memories (over 15 years ago now)
. I've got one of my old year one textbooks here on the shelf "How Does Earth Work?". I wonder if anything in there is no longer valid (probably not).
Here's a fun thing to ponder: sea level rise is mostly caused not by melting ice, but by heat expansion. Antarctic and Greenland ice shelf collapse can alter that a good bit, but IIRC (and I cba to check) it's really mostly about heat expansion. That means that the water has been loaded with a carp ton of
energy. We tend to think of sea level rise as, well, what it sounds like - water levels going up, maybe with the odd Hollywood style tsunami thrown in for some dramatic effect.
But in fluid dynamics (I was always garbage at fluid dynamics/mechanics/whatever it is, my maffs is not good), things behave differently when they are heated, of course. What happens when all those countless billions of litres of water are warmed, even if it's just by a degree or whatever? You might get higher waveforms, more peaky stuff, for example. Maybe just a centimetre or a few mm something, I have no idea, probably not enough to bother a mariner in the smallest boat (or maybe much worse). But on bigger scales, you'll probably suffer much higher levels of coastal erosion because of all that extra energy battering away.
Maybe the "zone of mixing", the spot where fresh water flowing from rivers into sea estuaries meets salt water, moves upriver some distance because of the extra force of tidal systems. The sea spray patterns, the fog banks, local weather, sandbanks, all the ecosystems local to all this, all this will irrevocably change. And then there's the inevitable feedback loops that all these changes make and could accelerate the initial change.
I have no idea how accurate any of these ramblings I'm doing here are, but what I'm getting at is - this is just one global phenomenom I'm talking about here, and the possibilities are myriad. And yes, this sort of thing goes on all the time naturally, it's all a big dynamic system. But we're the ones throwing up the energy traps. You don't need a Milankovic cycle to cook us up when we make our own version of the effect. Whatever the effect will be, there will be an effect. If you try to deny that, you're need to go have a rethink.