Non-COVID excess deaths would be far higher absent lockdowns because of NHS overload.
That is nonsense. Last year the NHS shut down nationwide, regardless of local case rates and capacity. I have covered it here before but a family member has suffered terribly and had their quality of life made much worse and shortened considerably. They will become a non-covid excess death soon. But this was all unnecessary, our local infections were almost non existent, our local hospital was a ghost town (still is mostly) but it was forced to essentially shut down for anything except emergency treatment for months.