RogerS
Established Member
What a helpful and erudite comment.Tosh
What a helpful and erudite comment.Tosh
... Just to clarify...what is "msm"?.
Sam.
"I mentioned them once, but think I got away with it"I’m late to the party, have the Nazis been mentioned yet?
This is entirely possible, but it's also the wrong way of looking at viruses and vaccines (the problem with a "sample of one" - or in this case "two").My fishing buddy has the flu *** every year and gets flu every year, I don't have the *** and stay healthy, he is over 80 I am in my mid 70's make of that what you will.
Hmmm. I finished fixing my felt shingles last week, but I'm only 67, so wouldn't have been any help.A serious note
I have heard that the shingles vaccination, available for anyone over 70 is meant to be very good in preventing or reducing the impact of shingles, so if you are in that age group it might be worth checking with your GP.
I am going to comment again on this thread now that maybe the dust has settled.This is entirely possible, but it's also the wrong way of looking at viruses and vaccines (the problem with a "sample of one" - or in this case "two").
You may, or may not, contract a particular virus in any given year. If you do contract that virus you may have no symptoms and not be contagious. You may have no symptoms and be contagious. You may have mild symptoms. Or severe symptoms. It may even be fatal.
The important thing is to look at larger samples. If you compare 1000 people who haven't been given a vaccine for a particular virus, vs a similar set of 1000 that have been given the vaccine, what are the results overall.
The likelihood is that fewer of the vaccinated group will suffer serious symptoms or die - but it's entirely probable that some individuals from both groups will experience any one of the many possible outcomes listed above.
The problem is that this isn't obvious to the layman; you see yourself (or a few close acquaintances) get, or not get, symptoms, and extrapolate the effectiveness of a vaccine (or the risks of a virus) from that small - and statistically insignificant - sample size. Case in point; I know several long term smokers. Not one of them has died from lung disease; hence smoking must be safe, yes?
that is correct and its borne out by the extremely low influenza cases this year (the ONS show cases for Jan, but all those from Mar onwards are lower than typical, but bear in mind the period is not in the main flu season).I know that those with underlying health issues should at least consider a flue *** this year and every year. However, for the rest of us, am I not correct in thinking that flue is caused by a virus?
In which case, the precautions we are taking to reduce the spread of COV 19 virus will also reduce significantly the spread of the Flue virus.
Am I missing something?
Phil
What is the probability that the unvaccinated 1000 will be damaged by a vaccine?
You got it in one, if you don't have it , it can't harm you.Artie, this does not scan for me. How can something that you don't encounter or have not had injected into you, harm you? Can you please enlarge on where and how you see the damage occuring?
Sam
false dilemma fallacyBut on the other hand, if you take 1000 people and vaccinate them, take another 1000 and don't vaccinate them.
What is the probability that the unvaccinated 1000 will be damaged by a vaccine?
Artie is playing with logical fallacies.Artie, this does not scan for me. How can something that you don't encounter or have not had injected into you, harm you? Can you please enlarge on where and how you see the damage occuring?
Sam
No, that's your question?false dilemma fallacy
heres the real question:
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